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Bitcoin and the money supply: why compare the two?

Compare two creation rules: money with no fixed ceiling and Bitcoin, capped at 21 million under its protocol. Understand the halving and the limits of this comparison.

What is this guide for?

Bitcoin comes up constantly in money-printing debates, usually with plenty of noise and few numbers. This page explains why the comparison has a precise technical meaning, what it actually shows, and above all where it breaks down. This is not investment advice.

Open the dashboard →Opens the matching MoneyPrinter tab
View benchmarks and the example
Overview · two issuance logics
Bitcoin supply
Capped
Currency supply
Elastic
A quantity fixed in advance

The total number of bitcoins that will ever exist is capped at 21 million, written into the protocol back in 2009. Issuance follows block counts under the current protocol rules; future calendar dates are estimates.

A quantity steered

A currency's money supply has no ceiling. It adjusts with the credit banks extend and with central bank policy, up or down, in response to economic conditions.

What the tab puts side by side

The Bitcoin price and the money supply of the selected currency over the same period, so you can see which moved faster.

Educational example · dated observations are in the tool.

The essentials

The comparison concerns issuance rules: an elastic money supply facing the fixed cap built into the Bitcoin protocol.

The cap and the price are different things

Current protocol rules limit issuance to about 21 million bitcoins. This cap concerns the number of BTC, not their price in euros. Price depends on market supply and demand.

Halving, simply explained

Every 210,000 blocks, the reward in new bitcoins per block halves. A block is a group of transactions added to the ledger. This happens about every four years, but future dates are estimates: blocks do not follow a perfectly regular clock.

Example with 0.02 BTC

At a hypothetical €50,000 per BTC, 0.02 BTC is worth €1,000. At €25,000 per BTC it is worth €500. The quantity held and the protocol cap are unchanged, but the resale value has fallen.

A cap does not guarantee purchasing power

New bitcoins are still being created. A capped supply guarantees neither a stable price nor protection against inflation. To understand what an investment can buy, also consider its price, the period, fees and taxes.

What the simulator compares

The nominal result compares purchase and resale values. The price-adjusted result compares their purchasing power. For the money-supply comparison, the value of your bitcoins in the selected currency represents a slice of the money pie at each date. Historical average prices are not your exact transaction prices. Fees and taxes can change your personal result.

See the money pie and your slice
This page is part of moneyprinter.uk, a bilingual dashboard of published data and estimates tracking the money supply, GDP, public debt and purchasing power across the euro area, the US, Canada, China, Turkey, Sweden and Switzerland.